What a great day yesterday! 8 of the 9 bets advised won and even the bet that didn’t finished just 1 goal short. That meant we landed the safe and medium trebles at 9/5 and 15/2 so with that success under our belt I’ve been looking around to see if we can build on it again today. A very difficult day of fixtures ahead but there’s 3 I’ve found that fit the bill!
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SAFE DIAMOND TREBLE PAYS 11/5
MEDIUM DIAMOND TREBLE PAYS 5/1
RISKY DIAMOND TREBLE PAYS 74/1
1) England U19’s vs Belgium U19’s (U19 Qualifying, 6PM)
Having both collected 2 wins from their opening 2 games of qualifying both of these sides have now qualified for the elite qualification group, the final stage before the finals commence and regardless of what happens today neither will be going home. But don’t expect that just because his side have progressed that Sean O’Driscoll will let this England U19’s side relax and take what comes. This young outfit have shown encouraging signs that match the success of the U21’s and U20’s team in recent weeks and following an 8-0 thrashing of Luxembourg and a 3-0 win over Belarus, O’Driscoll is looking for his players to not only qualify, but top the group with 9 points and without conceding a single goal….the perfect qualification! This England side really does have some promise in it. The likes of 18 year old Chelsea midfielder Ruben Loftus-Cheek who already has 3 goals in this competition, Man City defender Ashley Smith-Brown and 17 year old Fulham striker Patrick Roberts have all been standout players throughout qualification so far and all are set to appear this evening against Belgium. The Belgians have also won both of their opening games in the group but in much less convincing fashion. A 4-0 win over Luxembourg in their first game coupled with a 3-2 win over Belarus means 6 points on the board but that certainly doesn’t tell the whole story. In the StatBet Club we had a little bet on Belgium in their last game but we were incredibly lucky truth be told. They were by far the better side don’t get me wrong, but they were 2-0 down with 13 minutes to play and had been reduced to 10 men before they staged a miraculous comeback to secure qualification. But that red card means that their star player, 18 year old Genk midfielder Siebe Schrijvers will be missing for today’s game which is a pretty big loss. Given England’s convincing wins in this tournament so far I have to back them to make it a clean sweep this evening.
SAFE BET: England U19’s to win at 4/9
MEDIUM BET: England U19’s -1.0 Asian Handicap at 1.775
RISKY BET: England U19’s to win 2-0 at 6/1
2) Zavrc vs Krka (Slovenian Prva Liga, 2PM)
Forced to go with a bit of an earlier kick off here because of the lack of football so if you’re working today you might miss this and I apologise in advance but I feel it has to be included. The Slovenian top flight is somewhere we rarely venture really but today I’ve taken a look at Krka who are absolutely shocking on the road. So far this season their record on their travels is played 6, lost 6 and in that time they’ve scored just 3 goals whilst conceding 15! This isn’t an isolated occurrence just for this season though. Krka have always been a side who rely heavily on their home form in order to survive and in 2 seasons in the Slovenian top flight they have won just 3 games, drawn 2 and lost 19! Today they make the 220km journey from Novo Mesto to North East Slovenia to face Zavrc who currently sit 3rd in the league and have had a pretty decent season so far. Following an opening day home loss to current league leaders Domzale, they’re now undefeated in 5 games here at the Mestni Stadion and have conceded just 1 goal in that 5 game run. They’re not really an attacking side and rarely stick loads of goals in but they are very solid here at home losing just 5 times in 24 games here including the last 2 seasons. The two have met 5 times in the top flight of Slovenian football with Zavrc winning on 4 occasions and winning both times the two have met here in Zavrc and I’m confident that the hosts will get another victory on the board this evening.
SAFE BET: Zavrc to win at 1/2
MEDIUM BET: Zavrc Over 1.5 Team Goals at 4/6
RISKY BET: Zavrc to win to nil at 11/8
3) Egypt vs Botswana (African Cup of Nations, 6PM)
I’m playing the bookies at their own game on this one folks! My plan was simple, find the shortest price of any team in the African Cup of Nations this evening and start chipping away at positive asian handicaps. The reason for that is simple…teams rarely get spanked in this competition, and I mean very rarely. Botwsana may be bottom of the group here with 3 losses from 3 games but they were all by 2 goals or less. In fact, Botwsana have only ever been beaten by 3 or more goals once in the African Cup of Nations qualification groups. Egypt on the other hand collected their first win in a 2-0 victory in Botswana in the weekend but with 2 losses prior to that they need some results if they are to qualify. But even though they need results, it’s very rare that you see them start handing out arse thrashings. In fact, Egypt haven’t won a competitive game by 3 goals or more since 2011! Botswana are coached by 48 year old Englishman Peter Butler and he’s pretty confident that they can achieve something in Cairo this evening. Egypt are a talented side whereas Botswana are young and still learning their trade, but with the two sides having only met 4 days ago, Butler is confident that he can set his side up to get something this game. It would be a miracle for Botswana to achieve qualification now as they did back in 2012, becoming the only AFCON representative in the finals, but Butler is willing to give it a try and I’m willing to give Botswana the benefit of the doubt here. The line is far too short for an Egypt win here so I’m going the other way and hoping that the man from Halifax can pull something out of the bag with his Botswana players!
SAFE BET: Botswana +2.5 Asian Handicap at 1.500
MEDIUM BET: Botswana +1.5, +2.0 Asian Handicap at 2.000
RISKY BET: Botswana or Draw at 7/2
