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12/11/2014 – Diamond Treble

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Well a disappointing day yesterday as the Scots well and truly did us over.  Looking back at that fixture I still have no idea how it finished 0-0.  I mean, how do you score 4 and concede 5 in 1 game and then fail to score or concede in the next?  That’s football I suppose and we’re bound to get a dodgy result now and again but as always, all of our tips are backed up with pure stats and info so you can be sure you’re investing your money in something that has reasoning behind it.  And today we’re at it again with our 3 best bets as well as an additional 7 safe bets to make up the big acca.  Let’s hope for a big one today!

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SAFE DIAMOND TREBLE PAYS 23/10
MEDIUM DIAMOND TREBLE PAYS 6/1
RISKY DIAMOND TREBLE PAYS 87/1

bet365

1) Tubize vs Sint Truiden (Belgian 2nd Division, 7:30PM)
We follow the league leaders of the Belgian 2nd tier tonight as Sint Truiden travel to Tubize.  The visitors are on an absolutely incredible run at the moment winning their last 5 games in a row, scoring 15 goals whilst conceding just 3 and tonight they make the 100km journey west to the city of Tubize to face a mid-table outfit who have won just once in their last 5 games.  Tubize won their opening 2 games of the season here at the Stade Leburton but since then have won just 1 of their last 5 in front of their own fans and that solitary win was against bottom side Woluwe-Zaventem.  They lost to promotion hopefuls OH Leuven here at the weekend, a side who Sint Truiden have already beaten this season and have kept just 2 clean sheets in their last 10 games on home soil.  Sint Truiden are taking no prisoners and though the loss of French midfielder Pierre Baherle to a knee injury is a blow they will have a strong side tonight for this clash.  Brazilian midfielder Junior is also missing but he’s generally been a sub for this season anyway meanwhile the likes of Piotr Parzyszek (ST, 12, 5), Hilarie Momi (ST, 8, 4), Joeri Dequevy (MF, 12, 5) and Sascha Kotysch (MF, 12, 3) are all fit and are all capable of punishing this poor Tubize defence.  Following a disappointing season for Tubize on the 7th of October it was announced that coach Dante Brogno would be leaving the club and in his place Frenchman Colbert Marlot has been appointed.  He’s had experience under some big names in the past and has been assistant coach at the likes of Lens but following his appointment it’s not been a brilliant return.  Marlot joined the club on the 21st of October and started his campaign with a 2-0 loss away at Seresien before beating the aforementioned bottom side in his first home game and going on to lose against Leuven at the weekend.  It’s a return of 3 points from a possible 9 for the new man and he won’t be relishing the visit of the league leaders this evening.  I simply have to take the away side to get something out of this.  The two have met on 4 occasions and Sint Truiden have never lost to Tubize and given the current situation of the two teams I don’t expect that run to start tonight.
SAFE BET: Sint Truiden Draw No Bet at 2/5
MEDIUM BET: Sint Truiden to win at 19/20
RISKY BET: Sint Truiden -1.5 Asian Handicap at 3.350

2) Turkey vs Brazil (International Friendly, 6:30PM)
Brazil have taken a pretty strong squad to Istanbul ahead of their friendly with Turkey tonight and given the recent form of the 2 sides you have to expect an away win. The likes of David Luiz, Filipe Luis, Thiago Silva, Fernandinho, Neymar, Coutinho, Luiz Adriano, Willian and Oscar have all been taken so they are missing a few players here and there but it looks pretty attacking on the face of it. They face a Turkey side who have an important qualifier coming up against Kazakhstan on Sunday and given that they have collected 1 point from 3 qualifiers so far it’s going to be the weekend where Fateh Tarim is focusing his attention. Brazil suffered a nightmare defeat to Germany in the World Cup before also getting thumped by Holland in the playoff and that embarrassment seems to have had a positive effect on one of the worlds greatest footballing nations. They’ve won every game since that failure on home soil beating the likes of Colombia, Ecuador and Argentina before spanking Japan in their last friendly and they’ve done all of that without conceding a single goal, something which seemed like a fairytale after that defensive display against Germany. Under Dunga this Brazil side look a completely different outfit and a real threat and with the Turks on an incredibly bad run with a much more important game on the horizon it could well be a walkover for the Brazilians.
SAFE BET: Brazil to win at 4/7
MEDIUM BET: Brazil -1.0 Asian Handicap at 1.925
RISKY BET: Brazil to win to nil at 13/8

3) AFC Telford vs Altrincham (English Conference, 7:45PM)
If you’re looking for goals tonight then look no further than this little puppy in the English Conference.  Telford have averaged 3.78 goals per game so far this season at home, the highest in the league and they’ve also failed to keep a clean sheet in all of those, conceding 2 or more in their last 7 in a row but also finding the net themselves in 6 of their last 7 here.  4 of the last 5 league games at the New Bucks Head have produced 4 or more goals with 6 of the last 7 games here having produced 3 or more.  Telford also have the highest average first half goals per game at home of any side in the Conference, something to consider maybe?  Tonight they host Altrincham, a fellow Conference North side who were also promoted last year and their averages for goals aren’t too shoddy either.  They’ve averaged 3.11 goals per game away from home this season, the 6th highest of any away side in the Conference.  They’ve played 9 on the road and have kept just 1 clean sheet in that time conceding 2 or more goals in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.  As for their goalscoring record, well they’ve found the net in each of their last 3 away games and have scored in 6 of 9 on their travels this season.  These two played each other twice last season en route to promotion with their game here at Telford finishing 3-1 and the reverse fixture ending 1-1.  Both Teams to Score looks the pick of the bunch for the safe bet but feel free to dabble in goals, especially in the 1st half if you want a bit of value!
SAFE BET:  Both Teams to Score at 1/2
MEDIUM BET: Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals at 5/6
RISKY BET: Both Teams to Score in Both Halves at 9/1

OTHER SAFE BETS TO CONSIDER:

  • Belgium vs Iceland (International Friendly, 7:45PM) – Belgium to win at 2/5
  • Pumas Generalena vs Herediano (Costa Rica Premier, 9PM) – Herediano to win at 1/2
  • Connahs Quay vs Bangor (Welsh Premier, 7:30PM) – Over 2.5 Goals at 13/20
  • Lyon (W) vs PSG (W) (Womens Champions League, 5:45PM) – Lyon Women to win at 8/15
  • Juan Aurich vs Real Garcilaso (Peru Primera, 8:30PM) – Juan Aurich Draw No Bet at 2/5
  • Guarani vs Deportivo Capiata (Paraguay Clausara, 6PM) – Guarani to win at 1/2
  • Trujillanos vs Caracas (Venezuela Primera, 10:30PM) – Trujillanos Draw No Bet at 8/15

Add these to the 3 safe bets above from the #DiamondTreble and you’ll have a 10-fold which pays 55/1



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